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Library Modelling the effects of decoupling direct payments in the EU on area allocation and ruminant production: an analysis of various model results

Modelling the effects of decoupling direct payments in the EU on area allocation and ruminant production: an analysis of various model results

Modelling the effects of decoupling direct payments in the EU on area allocation and ruminant production: an analysis of various model results

Resource information

Date of publication
декабря 2005
Resource Language
ISBN / Resource ID
AGRIS:US2016210828

Decoupling of direct payments can be expected to have complex effects and the net effect on crop and fodder acreage is unclear. A literature review reveals that various simulation models uniformly project a decline of the cereal and silage maize acreage as well as ruminant production in the EU-15 in the course of decoupling of direct payments. In contrast, model results are mixed with respect to the direction of the decoupling effect on oilseed and pasture as well as voluntary set aside area. The model type is not found to have a systematic effect on model results. It is rather the assumptions about the effects of direct payments on production which differ widely and drive model results to a large extent. A model analysis which is based on the partial agricultural sector model ESIM-2005 highlights the importance of the level of pasture acreage allocation elasticities in the determination of decoupling effects on the distribution of Grandes Cultures and fodder & pasture area.

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Authors and Publishers

Author(s), editor(s), contributor(s)

Balkhausen, Oliver
Banse, Martin
Grethe, Harald
Nolte, Stephan

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