The Economic and Social Costs of Armed Conflict in El Salvador

This note puts figures behind the notion
of poverty resulting from war. Using simulation models, the
author estimates the economic and social costs of the El
Salvadorian conflict. The calculations suggest that had
conflict been avoided, income per capita would have been
almost the double of its actual value in 2002, the poverty
rate lower by 15 percentage points, and Millenium
Development Goals (MDG) indicators substantially better.